The “Times of India” reported on the evening of 6th that the Indian security establishment is reasonably sure China will not risk a war or even ‘a small-scale military operation’ despite all its belligerent rhetoric.
Of course China doesn’t want to risk a war and hopes that peace could return and China and India can get along well. Is there any need to say anymore on this aspiration of the Chinese (people) ? But if Indian troops continue to linger on Chinese soil, it will be quite another matter.
It is surprising that Indian security authorities should assess so and, moreover, assure the media that China will not take military action. New Delhi is not planning for the worst case (scenario), but teaching its citizens to hope for the best. Is the Indian government a church? Are they leading the people of India in this chanting ?
India made constant provocations at the China-India border in 1962. The government of Jawaharlal Nehru at that time firmly believed China would not strike back.
China had just undergone domestic turmoil and natural disasters; Chiang Kai-shek was clamoring against the mainland in the Southeast coast ; Beijing and Washington were engaged in hostility and China’s relations with the Soviet Union had begun to chill.However, the Nehru government underestimated the determination of the Chinese government to safeguard China’s territorial integrity even as the country was mired in both domestic and diplomatic woes.
Now the Indians place their hopes on China being unwilling to risk a war due to strategic concerns. They believe the US will likely side with India, which will exert huge psychological pressure on China. It seems that New Delhi does not comprehend the nature of the Sino-US rivalry and the meaning of strategic containment. It thinks Washington can influence the situation along the China-India border simply by issuing a pro-India statement or sending warships to the Indian Ocean. The same impact on the Sino-Indian border war situation. Indians probably expect Spiderman, Batman and the United States captain will somersault to the Himalayas to help them hit out at the Chinese people.
India has lost in both the legal and moral senses. It also lacks strength compared with China. The outcome of the standoff between Chinese and Indian troops in the Doklam area is fixed. Either the Indian army itself withdraws unconditionally, or the People’s Liberation Army drives them away. there is the place to destroy them, which is open to the Indian army clean, completely leave the Chinese land of the only ending of the different road, China has no time, China has not resorted to a war because it hopes New Delhi can make a rational choice, not because China does not dare to take action.
If New Delhi really believes that China will not take military action under any circumstances, then its analysis is not based on the principles of international politics and military science, but something metaphysical that (only) Indians believe in. In that case, (it has to be said that) the Modi government has not understood what China is saying. If the Narendra Modi government continues ignoring the warning coming from a situation spiraling out of control, countermeasures from China will be unavoidable.
The border standoff has stretched out for nearly two months. The world has seen China treasure peace and understands the causes of the issue. During this period, the Chinese public has gradually adapted to the risks and uncertainties their country faces and believes the Chinese government has the authority to solve the crisis through all possible means. Whereas on the Indian side the will is shaken, and the fact that the government and the army are in trouble is gradually getting known to the public. Time is not indefinite, China’s handling of the crisis by way of the comprehensive mobilization and a variety of preparations is actually advancing forward.
N.B. This editorial was published in the English version as well a day earlier. Differences between the two are highlighted in the strike-out/italics format — strike-outs representing parts in the English version but not in the Chinese. And italics representing additions in the Chinese version not in the English one.