Some events related to India have attracted much attention over the past two days. First, the fierce conflict between the Pakistani and Indian armies in Kashmir, resulting in several innocent civilian casualties with India and Pakistan accusing each other of having provoked the conflict. Second, the joint military exercise of the United States, Japan, and India in the Indian Ocean on July 9, with three aircraft carriers and other elite ships, on the largest scale in the past few years. Indian media generally advocate that the military should exert strategic pressure on China, showing off India’s strategic interaction with the United States, Japan and Australia as something to be very proud of.
The conflict between India and Pakistan is an old problem and a direct drain on India. The formation of a “strategic united front” by India and the United States, Japan and Australia formed is also an old topic, but it is relatively vacuous. India is not like Japan, doing its bidding undisguisedly as the “little attendant”. It is a self-stunted dwarf but one which, at the same time, refuses to shed the framework of its being a large country (big power), so suffers in entanglement.
China has been neutral in the Kashmir conflict between India and Pakistan, but if China is displeased someday, it will be a nightmare for India if it were to shift its military support to Pakistan. That would be far more weighty than any damage caused to China by strengthened cooperation between India, United States and Japan.
China has not adopted a harsh stance against India on the border issue and has been very patient. And tolerantly maintained overall friendship between China and India. But India has recently become insatiable … and been overstretching itself, enticed by the US and Japan. Even though China does not want to intensify the conflict or exert its strategic superiority, India is insolently trying to “lay down rules” for China such as opposing its construction of a road on its own territory, just because of New Delhi’s belief that the road might jeopardise its strategic security.
China should give India the necessary warning in order to keep it sober on China related issues. The heat (friction) in the Donglang area this time is entirely India’s doing, making trouble out of nothing. So China must definitely not make any concessions and make India draw a hard lesson. Keeping in mind India’s current refusal to withdraw, on the one hand, and the fact that use of military methods by both sides will completely destroy the calm that has prevailed on the Sino-Indian border for several decades, the Chinese army can consider active and forward patrolling in several places on the long border between China and India. And go to the extent of crossing the boundary and entering India at other positions in Dong Lang and open up new confrontation points between the Chinese and Indian troops on the Indian side of the boundary, thus creating a cross-border confrontation and putting pressure on the Indian side to force the Indian army to retreat from the boundary.
Chinese public opinion and civil society organizations need to take concrete action in support of Bhutan’s recovery of its diplomatic sovereignty and to encourage resumption of Sikkim’s independence to further needle in India. New Delhi has very limited counter cards. It has been very vague (equivocal) on the Dalai clique and the Tibetan (government in exile) Assembly has hooked up with Taiwan “legislators”. and hasn’t India been making petty moves in relation to the South China Sea issue from time to time ? But what can these cards do, their damage potential has already been exhausted; so there is nothing to fear.
If India thinks of further anti-China action of a strategic nature, China can consider stepping up support for Pakistan’s on the Kashmir issue until it is completely on the Pakistani side. As a warning, Chinese public opinion and civil society organizations can send out this signal now, so that New Delhi understands what it means to be enemies with China. It should be pointed out that while such a stance taken by the Chinese people will put pressure on India, New Delhi will be in no position to complain (say anything), because the people of India have (themselves) been doing so for long.
China can not appease India. It needs to take measures (against it). And, as compared to China’s unwillingness (incapacity) to withstand (the burden of) a US-India-Japan-Australia military alliance, India will even less be able to bear a Sino-Pak strategic pincer attack on itself. China is also the largest or major trading partner of the United States, Japan and India; the so-called anti-China alliance is utopian. If China’s channel link to the Indian Ocean were to be cut off, Japan’s waterways in the Western Pacific will not be guaranteed either. India will be heavily punished in the North, All parties would stand to lose in that situation.
Sino-Indian friendship is very important for maintaining basic stability in the northeastern region of India, where the situation is much more fragile than that in Tibet. China has always been reasonable with India, but there is no reason to fear it, or indulge its arrogance.
China will never want to go for a military conflict with India and feed its (India’s) military officials’ sense of self-esteem (ego). Don’t get carried away by (claims of) India’s being prepared for a “2.5 front war”, which are ridiculous. The reason why the United States etc. cultivate (indulge) you is that India is still fairly weak, the United States disdains looking upon India as a potential strategic adversary and therefore tries to use India as a bargaining chip. New Delhi should wake up to reality; this world really doesn’t care two hoots for it (close to the Hindi phrase ठेंगा मिलेगा ). (Literally: Don’t think that this world will work for you any more than root/green onions.)